Donna Laframboise has a posting on the sheer scale of the World Wildlife Fund (cross- posted at wattsupwiththat). No longer a small cuddly charity it has global revenues of €524m, 5,000 staff and a presence in 30 countries.
This is Part 1. What will part 2 bring? Might I guess that it could be on future ambitions?
Might I suggest that Donna Laframboise will direct us to pages 26 & 27 of the 2010 Annual Review (Page 14 on Google Docs)? WWF is celebrating its’ 50th Anniversary, so naturally it will look ahead.
The Section is “WHAT WE WILL ACHIEVE“. There is no “might” or “by supporting others”. It is what WWF will achieve on their on.
The first is mild and a laudatory objective, well-within their remit.
By 2022 “the number of tigers in the wild has doubled from just 3,200 in 2010.”
That is great and why many support the WWF, along with saving pandas and polar bears. Although, they might need to persuade others, like the Indonesian and Indian Governments, to do most of the work. Next is a bit more ambitious.
By 2030 “the amazon’s land and freshwater ecosystems are properly conserved, so they’re no longer under threat.”
A bit more ambitious, but short of funding thousands of armed environment enforcement officers to police over a million square miles of Brasil, Peru, Columbia, Bolivia and Venezuela, along with the necessary legal powers this may not be achieved without some assistance. Sovereignty issues spring to mind.
By 2020 “Through energy efficiency, sustainable management of natural resources and emissions cuts, China’s economy is growing within the capacity of one planet.“
Now, unless this is meaningless guff, China will make actual cuts in their emissions through the actions of WWF (not the UNIPCC). Currently the Chinese government has said it will grow their emissions by less the nation’s growth rate. With 10% growth, it means the current plans are for China’s emissions will more than double from 2010 levels and still meet the targets. An actual cuts would mean closure of new coal-fired power stations, closing the airports, denying hundreds of millions the prospect of car ownership, covering the area in windmills and a drastic reduction of growth to maybe 2-3%. This could only be achieved by a coup d’etat followed by a government as brutal as Mao Zedong or Josef Stalin in their primes. But the biggest one is.
By 2050 “Global Greenhouse gas emissions have been cut by 80% compared to 1990 levels”
This is the biggest ambition by far. Since 1990 greenhouse gas emissions has increased substantially. So the level of cuts in little more than a generation is immense. There is no global agreement in place, nor is there likely to be. Even if there were an agreement, it cannot be achieved without vast human suffering (here & here). To impose a reduction not just in growth, but in living standards as well, would require a highly repressive global regime, the like of which the world has never seen. There are three possible scenarios
1. WWF has advanced plans underway for World Domination
First it will take over the UNIPCC (where it is already highly influential). Then it will organise a coup d’etat in China. It will then use this as a springboard for world domination.
2. The WWF has a vastly overblown sense of its’ own importance
The WWF has been taken over by a bunch of climate extremists who have lost a true perspective on reality.
3. The WWF does not internally check its’ major annual report
Which means that the longer reports WWF produces on climate change, (the famous grey literature on UNIPPC AR4) are probably not checked as well. WWF therefore needs to clean-up its act if it is to be taken seriously as an environmental organisation.
One might notice an ascending order of likelihood in the scenarios 🙂
hro001
/ 27/09/2011Typo patrol here, manicbeancounter … you might want to change:
I think you meant to say “… without …” 😉
manicbeancounter
/ 27/09/2011Quite right – now corrected
Brian H
/ 27/09/2011Grammarnasty/ There is no such word as ” its’ “. His, hers, its; he’s, she’s, it’s. Those are your options. /Grammarnasty
Ironically, it may be that many of those “environmental” targets will be met with none of the WWF methods or preliminaries or authorities in place.
There is a small privately funded (ultra-‘hot’) fusion project at LPPhysics.com which is over 10X closer to breakeven than any other project. Within a year, we’ll probably know its approach works. Another 4-7 years will see mfrs. licensed the world over to make its generators (after suitable engineering refinements). Power costs (capital and operating) will drop by 90-95% below even the best current US levels. Zero emissions, and zero waste or radioactivity. Small modules, emplaceable virtually anywhere, fully ‘dispatchable’ (responsive to power demand timing curves).
The entire “renewables”/CO2 scambalooza will collapse, rendered irrelevant economic roadkill.
manicbeancounter
/ 27/09/2011Oops. I have had an attempt at replacing some of the “its’ “. Thanks for the tip.
There may be some mileage in fusion – but it is a long shot.
In Britain, the USA and elsewhere, the interim solution is shale gas. It lowers emissions relative to coal or oil and brings down costs. However, in the UK a new find that could meet the country’s entire current needs for 6 to 20 years risks being shelved as it would undermine the renewables programmes.
http://thegwpf.org/opinion-pros-a-cons/3973-benny-peiser-shale-gas-is-britains-golden-opportunity.html
Brian H
/ 12/10/2011You need to check the websites I gave. The odds are decent, and increasing rapidly. And the timescale is nothing like the prognostications of the ‘sperts on the payrolls of the big projects.
Anyhow, this winter should see the world’s first “scientific [thermal] breakeven”. Then all bets are off.