I posted last month that the Green Party could not analyse data on it’s core competency – tackling climate change. Yesterday, (June 2nd) they released the results of an opinion poll for tomorrow’s European elections. They are forecast to get 15% of the votes. Political Betting’s opinion is that
“The poll was not past vote weighted which generally means that the sample would not have been politically balanced.”
Compare the results to a two other polls – a Yougov poll for the Telegraph released today for 4th June edition, and an ICM poll released by the Guardian on 1st June.
Cons |
Labour |
LibDem |
UKIP |
Green |
BNP |
|
YouGov / Telegraph |
26 |
16 |
15 |
18 |
10 |
5 |
Comres for Green Party |
24 |
22 |
14 |
17 |
15 |
2 |
ICM / Guardian |
29 |
17 |
20 |
10 |
11 |
5 |
The results of the bias are to push the Green vote much higher. This is clearly a campaigning tool.
It is crucial for anyone who adopts an extreme position to analyse data as honestly as they can. That way they can build a position that can be trusted. The Green Party does not do this with its policy analysis any more than it does it with opinion polls. They back up the commonly held view that the term “extremist” is synonymous with “dangerous crank”.