The following comments by Mike Buckley (referenced here) are more revealing about the state of climate science than any errors on Evan’s part. Surface Temperatures v lower tropospheric temperatures. As a beancounter (accountant) I like to reconcile figures. That is to account for the discrepancies. Jo Nova, Anthony Watts and others have found numerous reasons [...]
All posts in category Beancounting Methodology
IPCC’s 1990 Temperature Projections – David Evans against Mike Buckley
Posted by manicbeancounter on May 7, 2012
http://manicbeancounter.com/2012/05/07/ipccs-1990-temperature-projections-david-evans-against-mike-buckley/
AGW – The Limits of the Science
Just posted to Wattsupwiththat. To say that we cannot make any predictions from models is inaccurate. However, a combination of the scarcity / inaccuracy of data and the highly complex nature of climate systems severely limit what we can be extrapolated. We are restricted to the most basic of “pattern predictions”. With respect to future temperature changes [...]
Posted by manicbeancounter on December 27, 2010
http://manicbeancounter.com/2010/12/27/agw-the-limits-of-the-science/
Cure Worse Than The Problem? – Global Warming and California Prop 21 Compared
Warren Meyer seems to have got a little confused on his blog posting on Judith Curry’s ostracism by the alarmist community. He states I find it just staggering that Judith Curry, whose hypotheses about man-made global warming probably overlap those of the hard core alarmists by 80-90%, can no longer be tolerated by alarmists. Much as the [...]
Posted by manicbeancounter on October 29, 2010
http://manicbeancounter.com/2010/10/29/cure-worse-than-the-problem-%e2%80%93-global-warming-and-california-prop-21-compared/
Kent Wind Farm – A dead loss to society
The Kent wind farm subsidy is mostly a waste of money, even measured by UNIPCC’s case for taking drastic action on CO2. First, two statements and a bit of data. “… the Kent windfarm. £780m invested to chase £50 ROCs. Offshore is double bubble, so £100/MWh generated.” (Sep 25, 2010 at 1:41 AM | Atomic [...]
Posted by manicbeancounter on September 26, 2010
http://manicbeancounter.com/2010/09/26/kent-wind-farm-a-dead-loss-to-society/
Royal Society lacks rigor in 20% cuts hypothesis
The New Scientist reports that the Royal Society believes that a “20 per cent cuts to British science means ‘game over’”. (Hattip BishopHill) In the article, some of the scientists point to the need for innovation to promote the high-tech industries on which our recovery depends. I quite agree. However, I would profoundly disagree that government-funded research [...]
Posted by manicbeancounter on September 24, 2010
http://manicbeancounter.com/2010/09/24/royal-society-lacks-rigor-in-20-cuts-hypothesis/
Considering Uncertainty in Climate Science
Sir John Bedddington, provides the introduction to a summary of “The Science of Climate change” on UK Business Department website. He states “The fact that uncertainty exists in climate science, as it does in other fields, does not negate the value of the evidence – and it is important to recognise that uncertainty may [...]
Posted by manicbeancounter on September 17, 2010
http://manicbeancounter.com/2010/09/17/considering-uncertainty-in-climate-science/
A (weak) case against the Sceptics weakens the AGW Case
Deutsche Bank tries to answer the sceptics by attempting to demonstrate the the AGW is not completely refuted. The sceptics arguments do indeed fail to amount to a complete refutation of the AGW case. Most of the “sceptic” arguments are against the idea that there has been no anthropogenic warming at all and that there is no evidence [...]
Posted by manicbeancounter on September 9, 2010
http://manicbeancounter.com/2010/09/09/a-weak-case-against-the-sceptics-weakens-the-agw-case/
The Myths of Green Jobs – from the Classical Economists and a Beancounter
The Adam Smith blog posts (here) on the seven myths of green jobs (by the Policy Network). They are useful as a criticism, but more fundamentally the classical economists gave a rebuttal over a century ago. From Adam Smith, you get increased prosperity from division of labour. Localism reduces the division of labour, thus reduces the [...]
Posted by manicbeancounter on August 31, 2010
http://manicbeancounter.com/2010/08/31/the-myths-of-green-jobs-from-the-classical-economists-and-a-beancounter/
The Division of Labour & Climate Science Part 1
Bishop Hill displays to an excellent short video at TED by Matt Ridley, encapsulating the concepts of the division of labour and comparative advantage. One thing that Matt Ridley leaves out is the creative destructiveness of competition through supplanting the existing order. Specialisation leads to new products and processes. By implication, the established processes and products [...]
Posted by manicbeancounter on August 7, 2010
http://manicbeancounter.com/2010/08/07/the-division-of-labour-climate-science-part-1/
The Hockey Stick and Climate Science
Posted Yesterday to the discussion at Climate Audit on the topic of ”The Team Defends Paleo-Phrenology” It may help …. to understand the nature of the science. It relies on statistical techniques to establish results. These, crucially, depend for their validity on the elimination of bias. If a researcher has faulty data, then the results are undermined. If the researcher [...]
Posted by manicbeancounter on July 27, 2010
http://manicbeancounter.com/2010/07/27/the-hockey-stick-and-climate-science/